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Huang Wentao of China CITIC Construction Investment Co., Ltd. and others: It is estimated that deficit ratio will rise to over 4% in 2025, and it is expected that the stock and debt will continue. On December 9th, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, and Liu Tianyu, macro analyst of CITIC Jiantou, believe that the policy tone of this Politburo meeting is quite proactive, which shows that the central government has made a full assessment and policy reserve for the pressures and risks that may be encountered in economic development next year, which has strongly echoed the expectations of economic entities. Huang Wentao and Liu Tianyu pointed out that GDP growth in the fourth quarter is expected to reach more than 5.2%, achieving the expected goal of annual economic growth of around 5%. On this basis, the annual growth target of about 5% will also be the basic premise of policy discussion in the next few years. Since the fourth quarter of this year, the fiscal policy has been continuously overweight. This time, the fiscal policy is set to be "more active", which indicates that the fiscal policy will expand again. It is estimated that deficit ratio will increase to over 4% in 2025. Both stocks and debts are expected to continue. Unconventional countercyclical adjustment policies not only provide sufficient impetus for the recovery of economic vitality, but also provide strong support for improving expectations and reviving confidence, and provide sufficient source of living water for the capital market. The stock market is expected to continue to strengthen and the risk-free rate of return is expected to continue to decline.AliExpress has held nearly 100 investment promotion meetings in Zhejiang, Guangdong, Jiangsu and other places. AliExpress has prepared a number of measures such as traffic and freight reduction for new merchants, and held nearly 100 investment promotion meetings in Zhejiang, Guangdong, Jiangsu, Shandong and other places in a month, attracting merchants from factories and industries to join. In addition, this year's "Black Five" is not over yet. Before double 11, the trend of "anti-involution" of e-commerce spread to cross-border circles, and AliExpress launched a series of policies to actively intercept and control the "refund only" and wool party that troubled businesses. (Interface News)Australia's policy interest rate is 4.35%, expected to be 4.35%, and the previous value is 4.35%.

Reserve Bank of Australia President Brock: I'm not sure if we will cut interest rates in February. It will be necessary to pay attention to the slowdown in data, wages and demand. If the inflation rate does not drop, then we will face another problem.Malaysia exported 1.49 million tons of palm oil in November, down 15%.Zhejiang took the lead in exploring the EOD model system. Recently, the Provincial Department of Ecology and Environment, the Provincial Development and Reform Commission, the Zhejiang Branch of CDB and the Zhejiang Branch of Agricultural Development Bank jointly issued the Guidelines for the Storage of Zhejiang Eco-environment-oriented Development (EOD) Projects (Trial), the Management Regulations of Zhejiang Eco-environment-oriented Development (EOD) Projects (Trial), and the Implementation Evaluation Rules of Zhejiang Eco-environment-oriented Development (EOD) Projects (Trial) EOD model is an innovation of market-oriented eco-environmental governance model, which aims to promote the effective integration, value-added feedback and overall promotion of eco-environmental governance with strong public welfare and related industries with good returns, and realize the integrated development of regional eco-environmental governance and industries. At present, 18 EOD projects in the province have been included in the financial support project library of the Ministry of Ecology and Environment, and two batches of 18 provincial pilot EOD projects have been announced. (released by Zhejiang)

The case of 2024 New Quality Productivity Empowering High Quality Development was released. On December 10th, 2024 China Brand Forum New Quality Productivity Empowering High Quality Development Forum was held in Zhengzhou. At the meeting, the case of high-quality development of new quality productivity in 2024 was released, and 20 enterprises including China Railway Equipment, BYD, Yutong Group, Chihiro Location and Ubisoft Technology were selected. (Dahe Finance Cube)Reserve Bank of Australia: It will take some time for inflation to continue to reach its target. The job market is still tight. The economic situation has affected the family's discretionary expenditure. The gap between total demand and supply continues to narrow, and output growth is weak.The investment of Shanghai private equity venture capital industry in the first three quarters was 45.947 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 50%. On December 10th, at the 17th Bund Finance Shanghai International Equity Investment Forum, the development report of Shanghai private equity venture capital industry in 2024 was officially released. According to the report, in the first three quarters of 2024, there were 327 investments in Shanghai private equity venture capital industry, a year-on-year decrease of 47%; The total investment was 45.947 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 50%. All rounds of financing activities have decreased, especially the A+ round, B round, D round and private placement round. The report also shows that in the first three quarters of 2024, the total amount of investment subscribed by Shanghai LP was about 67 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.61%; A total of 301 LPs were invested, a year-on-year decrease of 50.25%.